Satellite-Based Agricultural Risk Profiling in Rwanda (agriRISK)

Satellite-Based Agricultural Risk Profiling in Rwanda (agriRISK) - Alliance of Bioversity International - CIAT

agriRISK uses satellite remote sensing data to generate objective, plot-level agricultural risk scores for maize and rice across Rwanda, helping lenders make informed credit decisions and improve smallholder farmers’ access to finance. Integrated into the national Credit Market Infrastructure, the platform is designed for long-term operation by the Rwanda Space Agency.

Project Name (full): Satellite-Based Agricultural Risk Profiling in Rwanda (agriRISK)

Start and end year: 11 May 2026 – 31 March 2027

Region and Countries: Africa, Rwanda – nationwide coverage of all 30 districts, with a four-district deep-pilot (Nyagatare, Musanze, Nyabihu, and Ruhango) for crop-type validation and ground calibration.

Funders: Access to Finance Rwanda (AFR)

Other partners: Banque Nationale du Rwanda (BNR), Rwanda Space Agency (RSA), National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda (NISR)

Brief description

Smallholder farmers across Rwanda face limited and expensive access to agricultural credit, held back by high transaction costs, fragmented data systems and the absence of an objective, timely view of plot-level agricultural risk. agriRISK addresses this bottleneck. The platform use satellite remote sensing data to produce an objective, repeatable, plot-level risk score for maize and rice across all districts of Rwanda for each of the two main growing seasons. The risk profile is served to participating lenders through the national Credit Market Infrastructure (CMI). What is unique about agriRISK is its end-to-end integration: a wall-to-wall remote-sensing stack and a lender-ready scoring API inside one production platform, co-designed with Rwandan institutions and operated nationally by the Rwanda Space Agency after hand-over.

Satellite-Based Agricultural Risk Profiling in Rwanda (agriRISK)  - Alliance Bioversity International and CIAT

Key activities

Co-design of the risk-scoring framework with AFR, BNR, RSA, NISR and other partners. Development of the end-to-end online-based plot-level remote sensing-based risk profiling system integrated with Credit Market Infrastructure (CMI) . Technical handover workshop to Rwandan institutions. Production deployment and operational support to Rwanda Space Agency's as the custodian of the platform.