How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Nigeria? An econometric analysis

This factsheet assesses how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Nigeria, using a two-stage econometric approach. The findings show how increased rainfall increases the nutrition security of Nigerian households and that the combined effect of extreme temperature and nutrition insecurity increases the intensity of conflicts.

This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus?